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INSIDE THE STORY – A Year After Soleimani’s Death, Iran’s Influence Is Receding

January 10, 2021


 

Kayhan Life

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An English-language digital media outlet with a spotlight on the global Iranian community. #kayhanlife

By Sam Tobin SEATTLE, June 24 (Reuters) – Egypt an By Sam Tobin
SEATTLE, June 24 (Reuters) – Egypt and Iran both go into their final group game on Friday with good chances of progress, but geopolitical tensions between Iran and co-hosts the United States — plus the nations’ unease over local Pride celebrations — loom large over the match.

A first World Cup win for seven-times African champions Egypt, 92 years after their debut, put them in charge though Iran‘s dogged performances in draws with Belgium and New Zealand means victory could also see them top Group G.

The match will, however, be overshadowed by global events as the U.S. and Iran seek to negotiate a lasting peace to the war launched by U.S. and Israeli strikes in February, which quickly spiralled into a regional conflict.

Iran has had to grapple with travel restrictions, which coach Amir Ghalenoei said made them the tournament’s “most oppressed team”, though the U.S. said this week that Iran would be allowed to travel two days before the game instead of one.

The tensions are made all the more acute by the fact that Iran winning the group potentially sets up a clash with the U.S. on July 6 for a place in the quarter-finals.

Long before that, though, Team Melli must overcome Egypt, who are buoyed by how they came from behind to beat New Zealand and assume control of a group which Belgium had been heavy favorites to win.

Egypt know a point is likely enough to top the group, which could tempt them to fall back into their familiar defensive mode despite letting loose in the second half against New Zealand.

The opportunity is there, though, to secure a last-32 game in Seattle against a third-placed team on July 1, possibly followed by a last-16 tie in the city, with Egypt based in nearby Spokane.
By Kayhan Life Staff June 24 - Tens of billions of By Kayhan Life Staff
June 24 - Tens of billions of dollars in earnings from Iranian exports have yet to be paid into the country’s coffers, according to Islamic Republic officials.

Zabihullah Khodaeian, the head of Iran’s General Inspection Organization (GIO), said in a June 21 press conference that more than 94 billion euros ($107 billion) in foreign currency earnings, mainly from oil sales, still awaited repatriation.

Of that total, 53 billion euros were linked to three state-owned companies — the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), the National Iranian Gas Company (NIGC), and the National Iranian Oil Refining and Distribution Company (NIORDC) — though “a significant portion of these discrepancies have now been clarified,” he added.

Analysts say that more than a third of foreign currency revenues from Iranian oil sales fail to return to the country. They blame institutional corruption in the Islamic Republic of Iran, involving various branches of the legislative and executive bodies, oversight institutions, and the judiciary.

Other factors behind the non-return of revenues from oil and petrochemical exports  are oil sanctions and the existence of informal or illegal networks — including those operated by the IRGC — to bypass them.

The failure to fulfill foreign exchange obligations and the non-return of export earnings to Iran’s economy are among the factors contributing to declining foreign currency revenues, rising inflation, increased exchange rates, shortages of funds for importing essential goods, and a weakening of the national currency, analysts explain.

Khodaiean cited the lack of a robust system for issuing “trade cards” as a key reason for the failure of return of foreign currency and for currency-related violations in foreign trade.
By Kayhan Life Staff June 24 - Public pessimism is By Kayhan Life Staff
June 24 - Public pessimism is on the rise among Iranians, with nearly two-thirds of survey respondents showing no hope that their circumstances will improve in the future, a senior official has said.

Mohammad Bathaei, Deputy Interior Minister and Head of the Social Affairs Organization (SAO), said in a June 16 interview with the Iranian Labor News Agency (ILNA) that surveys (conducted by the Interior Ministry and academic institutions) showed around 60 percent of those polled had negative expectations of their future prospects.  This was, he said, a “serious warning signal.”

While the country’s problems are serious, Bathaei said, rebuilding public trust and strengthening the relationship between citizens and governing institutions is just as critical as addressing economic challenges, and must therefore be pursued with equal seriousness.

Bathaei said Iran’s Social Capital Index — the interconnected network of relationships, trust, shared values, and social norms that enables individuals and groups to cooperate effectively and function cohesively — was on a downward trajectory, dropping from 43.5 percent in 2015 to around 36.6 percent in 2025.

He said only about 25 percent of people currently believed there was justice and equality in society. By contrast, nearly 75 percent of respondents felt that discrimination and inequality significantly affected their daily lives.

According to surveys, overall social satisfaction in Iran is around 38 percent, while 62 percent of people report dissatisfaction with the current situation.

Bathaei said policymakers should take these perceptions seriously.

Turning to what he he referred to as society’s economic tolerance threshold, he said surveys showed 60 percent of respondents felt that livelihood struggles had depleted their resilience and that they could not handle more economic strain.

He said 70 percent of respondents indicated that the solution to current crises did not lie in promises, but in structural and fundamental changes at the macro policy level.
By Kayhan Life Staff June 24 - A member of the Ira By Kayhan Life Staff
June 24 - A member of the Iranian Parliament, or Majles, has raised questions about $1 billion which were withdrawn from the country’s sovereign wealth fund and intended for medical and medicinal use.

In a June 23 interview with the Tehran-based website Didban Iran, Ruhollah Lak Aliabadi — a member of the Majles’s Health and Medical Committee — said that before the onset of Iran’s war with the United States and Israel, $1 billion was withdrawn from the National Development Fund of Iran (NDFI), the sovereign wealth fund established in 2011 to support Iran’s Oil Stabilization Fund.

The funds were reportedly allocated on the orders of the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (who was killed by U.S. and Israeli forces on Feb. 28) for the purchase and import of medicines and medical equipment.

“We had a meeting in the Health and Medical Committee of Parliament with the Iranian Food and Drug Administration (IFDA). In fact, this meeting was quite challenging for the committee members. Before the war, on the order of the martyred Imam, it had been decided that $1 billion would be withdrawn from the Development Fund for medicine and medical equipment,” Aliabadi said.

“The issue that has been raised and is open to discussion is that of that $1 billion, $300 million has been spent, and it is not clear where the remaining $700 million have gone, or what was their fate.”

“The war was foreseeable, and we should have planned for the supply of equipment,” he said. “Through Heyat Omana Arzi (the council for saving in patient treatment), we tried to keep warehouses stocked with equipment and consumable items for at least six months.”

“Unfortunately, the problem concerns the withdrawal of $1 billion from the National Development Fund. The most important question is: where is this $1 billion, and how much of it has actually been spent?”
The FIFA World Cup, first held in 1930, stands as The FIFA World Cup, first held in 1930, stands as the most widely watched sporting event on the planet. The tournament was organized as an invitational affair in its inaugural year, hosted by Uruguay, whose national team went on to defeat Argentina in the final. The championship has since been awarded every four years, with the only interruptions coming in 1942 and 1946 due to World War II.  What began as a 13-nation competition has grown dramatically over the decades, expanding to 48 participating teams for the 2026 edition, co-hosted for the first time by three countries.

Eight nations have lifted the trophy across the tournament’s history. Brazil leads all countries with five championships, having won in 1958, 1962, 1970, 1994, and 2002. Germany and Italy have each won four titles, while Argentina — the reigning champion — has won three. Uruguay and France have claimed the title twice each, and England and Spain have each won it once.

Iran have appeared at the World Cup on seven occasions: 1978, 1998, 2006, 2014, 2018, 2022, and 2026, though they have yet to advance past the group stage.  Their most memorable match against the United States came in 1998 in Lyon, France, a game widely described as one of the most politically charged in tournament history. Before kickoff, the Iranian players gifted white roses to their American opponents as a gesture of peace, and both teams posed together for a photograph — an uncommon occurrence at the time.  Iran won that match 2–1, with goals from Hamid Estili and Mehdi Mahdavikia, marking the team’s first ever World Cup victory.  The two sides met again 24 years later at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, with the stakes equally high. Christian Pulisic scored the decisive goal in the 38th minute to give the United States a 1–0 win, sending the Americans through to the round of 16 at Iran’s expense — a result that reversed the outcome of their only previous meeting.
By Francois Murphy VIENNA, June 24 (Reuters) – The By Francois Murphy
VIENNA, June 24 (Reuters) – The U.N. nuclear watchdog will carry out inspections in Iran soon following an interim peace accord between the United States and Iran, but modalities have yet to be finalised, the agency’s chief Rafael Grossi said on Wednesday.

The two sides signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding last week setting out broad agreements in principle to end the war. The interim accord paved the way for 60 days of talks aimed at hammering out thornier details, including issues related to Iran‘s nuclear program.

“The inspections will indeed take place,” International Atomic Energy Agency chief Rafael Grossi told a press conference in Japan, an audio recording of which the IAEA posted online.

“We will be working on the modalities — dates, procedures, places — very soon,” he said of discussions with Tehran.
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